Trump ahead of Biden in five key swing states, poll suggests


Donald Trump is ahead of US President Joe Biden in five key swing states a year ahead of the 2024 election, according to a poll.

The former president was leading the incumbent in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, the poll for the New York Times and Siena College found.

Mr Biden was ahead of his predecessor in Wisconsin.

Joe Biden

Mr Trump led by 10 points in Nevada, six in Georgia, five in Arizona and Michigan and four in Pennsylvania, while Mr Biden had a two-point advantage in Wisconsin.

Combining the data for all six states shows Mr Trump is ahead of Mr Biden by 48% to 44% on average.

If the results were the same during the election in November next year, Mr Trump would win more than 300 Electoral College votes – taking him past the 270 needed to return to the White House.

The six states in the poll have proven decisive in the Electoral College in recent elections.

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According to the poll, a majority of voters said Mr Biden’s policies during nearly three years as president have personally hurt them.

Mr Biden and Mr Trump are both unpopular, according to the poll. But voters who overwhelmingly said the nation was on the wrong track are taking out their frustrations on the president.

Some 71% of those polled said Mr Biden, who turns 81 this month, was “too old” to be an effective president. Meanwhile, 39% of the electorate said the same about Mr Trump, 77.

The New York Times and Siena College polled 3,662 registered voters between 22 October and 3 November.

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